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ISSN 2096-7780 CN 10-1665/P

郑文俊, 王庆良, 陈九辉, 张竹琪, 郝明, 沈旭章. 鄂尔多斯活动地块边界带地震动力学模型与强震危险性研究项目及进展[J]. 地震科学进展 , 2020, (4): 1-21. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-7780.2020.04.001
引用本文: 郑文俊, 王庆良, 陈九辉, 张竹琪, 郝明, 沈旭章. 鄂尔多斯活动地块边界带地震动力学模型与强震危险性研究项目及进展[J]. 地震科学进展 , 2020, (4): 1-21. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-7780.2020.04.001
Wenjun Zheng, Qingliang Wang, Jiuhui Chen, Zhuqi Zhang, Ming Hao, Xuzhang Shen. Project plan and research progress on geodynamic models of earthquakes and strong seismic hazards in boundary zone of the Ordos active block[J]. Progress in Earthquake Sciences, 2020, (4): 1-21. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-7780.2020.04.001
Citation: Wenjun Zheng, Qingliang Wang, Jiuhui Chen, Zhuqi Zhang, Ming Hao, Xuzhang Shen. Project plan and research progress on geodynamic models of earthquakes and strong seismic hazards in boundary zone of the Ordos active block[J]. Progress in Earthquake Sciences, 2020, (4): 1-21. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-7780.2020.04.001

鄂尔多斯活动地块边界带地震动力学模型与强震危险性研究项目及进展

Project plan and research progress on geodynamic models of earthquakes and strong seismic hazards in boundary zone of the Ordos active block

  • 摘要: 鄂尔多斯地块及其周缘地区的地震动力学和强震危险性研究,是检验和发展活动地块理论的理想场所。近年来,伴随青藏高原动力学研究视角的不断扩大,逐渐成为国内外新的地学研究热点。项目以“丝绸之路”经济带东端、我国重点强震危险区之一的鄂尔多斯活动地块为研究对象,构建活动地块及边界带三维深浅结构和构造变形模式,建立适用于板块内部的强震孕育动力学模型,完善大陆强震孕育和发生的活动地块理论,研发具有物理意义的时间相关强震预测理论模型,提出地震危险性理论预测技术规程。我国科学家20世纪末提出的大陆强震受控于活动地块的理论,为中国大陆强震危险地点预测提供了重要理论指导,但是如何将该理论更好地应用于实际的强震危险性预测研究中,还需要进一步深入研究活动地块运动和变形如何控制边界带强震的孕育和发生过程。选择鄂尔多斯活动块为研究的目标区,重点开展以下几个方面的研究内容:地块边界带断裂活动习性与强震复发行为;地块及周缘现今三维地壳运动与应变分配;地块及边界带深部结构与深-浅构造耦合;活动地块理论完善与边界带强震危险性研究。项目执行两年来,在几个方面均取得了进展和初步成果,建立了主要边界带断裂强震复发行为模式,获得了地块及周缘不同类型现今三维地壳运动状态,建立了关键区域地块边界带深-浅构造耦合构造模型,开展了边界带强震危险性研究。

     

    Abstract: The Ordos active block and its surrounding areas are ideal to examine and develop the active block theory on geodynamics and seismic hazards. In recent years, research on geodynamics of the Tibetan Plateau has become a new hotspot in geoscience both at home and abroad. This project will target on the Ordos active block and its boundary belts (a key seismic hazard area in continental China), which located on the east end of the Silk Road economic belt, establish the three-dimensional structural models of deep and shallow structures, build the regional geodynamic models of strong earthquake preparation processes inside the plate, improve the active block theory of strong continental earthquake preparation and occurrence, to develop a time-dependent strong earthquake prediction model with physical significance, and propose a technical regulation of earthquake prediction. The active block theory, which has been proposed by Chinese scientists at the end of 20th century, has suggested that the continental strong earthquakes mainly occurred on the active block. The theory provides important guidance for predicting the strong-earthquake-occurring locations in China. However, further work is necessary to apply it into practice, including research on how the block movement and structural deformation of active blocks control the preparation and occurrence of strong earthquakes on the boundary zones. Therefore, we focus on the Ordos active block to carry out the following research contents, including the behaviors of fault activity and strong earthquake recurrence of the block boundary zones, the 3D crustal movement and strain partitioning of the Ordos block and its surrounding areas, the structural coupling between deep and shallow structures of the Ordos block and its boundary zone, and the perfection of active block theory and research on the strong earthquake hazard on the boundary zones. In the last two years after starting the project, some preliminary results have been achieved. We have built a model to study the strong earthquake recurrence behaviors, obtained different patterns of 3D crustal movements in the Ordos block and its surrounding areas, built a coupling model between deep and shallows structure in the key regions, and conducted research on strong earthquakes hazard.

     

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