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ISSN 2096-7780 CN 10-1665/P

可操作的地震预测(OEF)研究的一些借鉴意义

Some referential significance about the study of Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF)

  • 摘要: 为对当前正在开展的中国地震局“监测预报改革设计研究——地震预测预报20年发展设计”工作提供借鉴, 本文对国际上正在开展的“可操作的地震预测(Operational Earthquake Forecasting, OEF)”研究的若干方面进行了整理, 并初步讨论了其对我国地震预测预报工作的借鉴意义。 其中, OEF的概念本身、 相关研究关注的重要科学议题、 以及与之相关的技术实现和在实际减灾中的应用途径等, 均对设计未来20年的中国地震预测预报的工作体系具有重要的参考价值。

     

    Abstract: This paper refers to the referential value for China’s earthquake forecasting on the international study of OEF (Operational Earthquake Forecasting). It provides referential meaning to the ongoing research “Monitoring and Prediction of Earthquake Reform and Design of Earthquake Forecasting/Prediction Development for the Next 20 Years” made by China Earthquake Administration. There is a significantly referential value for the science and work system of China’s earthquake prediction in the next 20 years through the concept of OEF itself, important science issues related to OEF, the realization of OEF technology and the application of OEF to decrease disasters.

     

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