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ISSN 2096-7780 CN 10-1665/P

基于小波分析的天水地震台断层气 CO2地震前兆信息提取研究

Seismic precursors extracted from the data of CO2 in fault gas at the Tianshui seismic station by wavelet analysis

  • 摘要: 以2022—2025年天水地震台断层气CO2观测数据为研究对象,利用db4小波进行分析处理,对其低频和高频短期异常进行研究。结果表明,小波分析方法对不同频率的信息识别功能较强,有助于将数据的趋势变化和局部变化分离,能够有效识别与消除干扰因素,对地震前兆异常的反映更加直观和显著,是地震前兆数据处理的一种有效技术方法。对2023年12月18日甘肃积石山MS6.2和2025年9月27日甘肃陇西MS5.6地震进行震例验证。结果表明,台站周围300 km范围内5级以上地震发生前3~6个月,断层气CO2会出现突跳异常,异常特征表现为CO2浓度变化大于2倍均方差阈值。

     

    Abstract: Using the fault gas carbon dioxide observation data from Tianshui seismic station from 2022 to 2025 as the research object, db4 wavelet was adopted for analytical processing, and short-term low-frequency and high-frequency anomalies were investigated. The results show that the wavelet analysis method has a strong capability of identifying information at different frequencies. It facilitates the separation of trend variations and local fluctuations in data, effectively recognizes and eliminates interference factors, and presents seismic precursor anomalies intuitively and prominently, thus serving as an effective technical approach to seismic precursor data processing. Earthquake case verifications were conducted on the MS6.2 Jishishan earthquake on December 18, 2023 and the MS5.6 Longxi earthquake on September 27, 2025 in Gansu Province. Jump anomalies of fault gas carbon dioxide emerged 3~6 months prior to earthquakes with magnitude 5.0 and above within a 300-kilometer range around the station, characterized by carbon dioxide concentration variations exceeding twice the mean square deviation.

     

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