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ISSN 2096-7780 CN 10-1665/P

江苏省地震活动与断裂的空间关系统计分析

Statistical analysis of spatial relationship between seismic activity and faults in Jiangsu Provice

  • 摘要: 通过分析1970年以来江苏省陆地地震活动与江苏省内及邻近区域主要断裂的空间关系,以及不同时间段地震活动主要区域的空间变化,探讨江苏省陆地地震活动的时空分布情况。使用ArcGIS的“近邻分析”工具分析得出所有地震最近的断裂及距离,研究发现总体趋势上,随着震中位置离最近断裂的距离的增加,地震数量越少。通过该方法,可以识别出一些在某一特定位置地震大量发生的情况。不同断裂对地震活动的控制性也并不相同,总体上看,断层活动时间越近,对地震的控制性越强,与地震活动关系越密切。使用ArcGIS的“点密度分析”工具,研究不同时期的地震活动分布情况,在近几年部分地区呈现地震活动大幅增加的现象。近几年部分地区的大量小震活动,可能由人工诱发产生,如何判别和对待分析是值得考虑的问题。

     

    Abstract: By analyzing the spatial relationship between seismic activity on the land of Jiangsu Province and the main faults in Jiangsu Province and its adjacent areas since 1970, and the spacial changes of the main areas of seismic activity in different time periods, the spatial and temporal distribution of land seismic activity of Jiangsu Province is discussed. The nearest fault and distance of all earthquakes are analyzed and got by using the “Near analysis” tool of ArcGIS. It is found that on the overall trend, with the increase of the distance between the epicenter and the nearest fault, the number of earthquakes decreases. Through this method, we can identify some situations in which a large number of earthquakes occurred at a specific location.The control of different faults on seismic activity is not the same. Generally speaking, the closer the fault activity time is, the stronger the control of the earthquake is, and the closer the relationship with seismic activity is. The “Point density analysis” tool of ArcGIS is used to study the distribution of seismic activity in different periods. In recent years, seismic activity has increased significantly in some areas. In recent years, a large number of small earthquake activities in some areas may be artificially induced, so how to distinguish and analyze them is also a question worth considering.

     

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