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ISSN 2096-7780 CN 10-1665/P

江苏省地震活动与断裂的空间关系统计分析

Statistical analysis of spatial relationship between seismic activity and faults in Jiangsu Province

  • 摘要: 通过分析1970年以来江苏省陆地地震活动与江苏省内及邻近区域主要断裂的空间关系,以及不同时间段地震活动主要区域的空间变化,探讨江苏省陆地地震活动的时空分布。使用ArcGIS的近邻分析工具分析得出所有地震最近的断裂及距离,研究发现总体趋势是,随着震中位置离最近断裂距离的增加,地震数量越少。通过该方法,可以识别出一些在某一特定位置地震大量发生的情况。不同断裂对地震活动的控制性也并不相同,总体上看,断层活动时间越近,对地震的控制性越强,与地震活动关系越密切。使用ArcGIS的点密度分析工具,研究不同时期的地震活动分布,在近几年部分地区呈现地震活动大幅增加的现象。近几年部分地区的大量小震活动,可能由人工诱发产生,如何判别和对待分析是值得考虑的问题。

     

    Abstract: We analyzed the spatial relationship between seismic activity on the land and main faults of Jiangsu Province and its adjacent areas since 1970, as well as the spatial changes in the main areas of seismic activity in different time periods. This allowed the spatiotemporal distribution of land seismic activity in Jiangsu Province to be discussed. The nearest fault and distance of all earthquakes were analyzed and identified using the near analysis tool of ArcGIS. An overall trend was found. With an increase in the distance between the epicenter and the nearest fault, the number of earthquakes decreased. Using this method, we identified situations in which a large number of earthquakes occurred at a specific location and the control of different faults on seismic activity is not the same. In general, when the fault activity time is closer, the earthquake control is stronger, indicating a closer relationship with seismic activity. The point density analysis tool of ArcGIS was used to study the distribution of seismic activity in different periods. In recent years, seismic activity has significantly increased in certain areas, and a large number of small earthquake activities have been artificially induced. Therefore, how to distinguish and analyze them is a question worth considering.

     

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