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ISSN 2096-7780 CN 10-1665/P

现代 · 新时代的新观念漫步地震五千年(16)

Modern:New ideas for a new era

  • 摘要: 监测预报、抗震设防和应急救援是新时代防震减灾的3个基本途径,随着我国社会城镇化和老龄化的迅速发展,发展了新的科学观念和新技术。地震预报历经百年探索,对地震活动的不确定性取得了国际共识,概率预报是今后发展的方向。建设韧性城市已成为普遍认可的新理念,本文以雄安新区为例、结合华北地区地震活动的增强,指出了该区的建设还需注意诱发地震和土壤液化的风险。应急救援所涉及的地震伤亡问题受到学术界重视,老龄社会的地震应对是个新课题,对于地震必知的内容,本文从建筑物的易损部位、地震判断和老年人避险3个方面做了讨论。

     

    Abstract: Monitoring and prediction, seismic prevention, and emergency relief are three basic earthquake countermeasures in the new era. New scientific concepts and technologies are being introduced in response to the rapid urbanization and aging of society. After a century of exploration in earthquake prediction, an international consensus has been reached on the uncertainty of seismic activity, and probabilistic prediction is the direction for future development. The concept of building resilient cities has become universally recognized. Considering the Xiongan New Area as an example, this study posits that construction in this area also requires consideration of the risk of induced earthquakes and soil liquefaction, in conjunction with the increase in seismic activity in North China. Studies have been published on earthquake casualties associated with emergency relief. Earthquake response in an aging society is a new topic, and this study explains the three crucial aspects of earthquake knowledge; that is, vulnerable sections of buildings, earthquake analysis, and risk avoidance for the elderly.

     

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