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ISSN 2096-7780 CN 10-1665/P

原平4.2级地震前山西地磁台阵数据异常特征分析

Anomaly characteristics of Shanxi geomagnetic array data before Yuanping M4.2 earthquake

  • 摘要: 山西省地震局与中国地震局地球物理研究所合作于2014年9月在山西北部恒山断裂带区域建设地磁台阵,布设了5台GM4磁通门磁力仪,获取区域场地磁三分量观测资料。台阵运行正常,记录数据完整率和内在质量达到预期标准。2016年4月7日在距离台阵最近代县测点约20 km处的原平发生了M4.2地震。通过对台阵2015年10月—2016年9月12个月记录数据,采用相关性、加卸载响应比、极化值3种方法进行分析,发现震前3~6个月时间各测点观测数据出现异常,其中代县与繁峙测点数据相关性最差;加卸载响应比代县测点(3.9)超出阈值(3.5);震前2个多月各测点极化值出现高值,而震前1个月代县测点出现高值,异常十分明显。笔者认为台阵多测点、数据多方法分析比单个站点分析对震前磁异常识别可信度高,这为未来多学科、多方法的地震预测综合判定提供了参考依据。

     

    Abstract: Shanxi Earthquake Agency and Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration cooperated to build a geomagnetic array by deploying five sets of GM4 fluxgate magnetometers to obtain the three components magnetic observation data of the regional site on both sides of the Hengshan fault zone in northern Shanxi from September 2014. The geomagnetic array had been operated normally during this period. The completeness and internal quality of recorded data meet the expected standards. On April 7, 2016, a M4.2 magnitude earthquake occurred in Yuanping, about 20 kilometers away from the nearest Daixian measuring point of the geomagnetic array. Through the analysis of the 12-month data from October 2015 to September 2016 by using three methods of correlation, load-unload response ratio and polarization, it is found that the data from each measuring point 3~6 months before the earthquake showed anomalies, among which the correlation of Daixian and Fansi measuring points is the worst. The load-unload response ratio (3.9) of Daixian measurement point exceeds the threshold of 3.5. The polarization value of each measuring point has a high value change two months before the earthquake, but only Daixian measuring point has a high value change one month before the earthquake. The abnormality is very obvious. In the author’s opinion, compared with the magnetic anomalies observed at a single station, this study of multiple observation points and multiple methods has improved the reliability, and provides a reference basis for the future multidisciplinary and multi-method joint earthquake prediction research.

     

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