The variation features of friction coefficient on the fault planes around the epicenter preceding the 2010 Bio-Bío, Chile MW8.8 earthquake
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摘要: 利用1990年1月1日—2010年2月26日期间发生在2010年智利Bio-Bío MW8.8地震震中附近地区的100次5.0≤MW≤6.9地震震源机制解结果,计算了断层面上的摩擦系数,并得到了摩擦系数随时间的变化。结果表明,震前从2006年初开始直至临近主震发生的约4年零2个月时间内,震中附近地区发震断层面上的摩擦系数随时间呈趋势下降变化;从2006年初的约0.73下降到临震前的约0.4,相对下降幅度达45.2%。这个结果对认识强震孕育过程以及地震预测研究均具有启示意义。Abstract: For one hundred earthquakes (5.0≤MW≤6.9) that occurred around the epicenter of the 2010 Bio-Bío, Chile MW8.8 earthquake from 1 January 1990 to 26 February 2010, their focal mechanism solutions were used to calculate the friction coefficient on the fault plane and the friction coefficient as a function of time. The results show that within the period of four years and two months from the beginning of 2006 until the occurrence of the Bio-Bío mainshock the friction coefficient around the epicentral area showed a decreasing trend, dropped from about 0.73 at the beginning of 2006 to about 0.4 immediately towards the occurrence of the Bio-Bío mainshock, with a relative decrease of 45.2%. It will be of great significance for understanding the occurrence process of strong earthquakes and earthquake prediction.
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Key words:
- Chile MW8.8 earthquake /
- fault plane /
- friction coefficient /
- variation features
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图 1 1990年1月1日—2010年2月26日5.0≤MW≤6.9地震震中分布(“〇”)。黑色四边形为研究区,红色五角星“☆”为2010年智利Bio-Bío MW8.8地震震中
Figure 1. Spatial distribution of epicenters for 5.0≤MW≤6.9 earthquakes that occurred from 1 January 1990 to 26 February 2010. The region marked by the black solid line is the study region in this paper. The red star “☆” shows the epicenter of the 2010 Bio-Bío, Chile MW8.8 earthquake
表 1 2010年智利Bio-Bío MW8.8地震前发生在研究区内地震的震源机制解
Table 1. The focal mechanism solutions for earthquakes occurring in the study area before the 2010 Bio-Bío, Chile MW8.8 earthquake
序号 发震时刻(BJT)
(年-月-日 时:分:秒)南纬
/°西经
/°震级
(MW)节面Ⅰ 节面Ⅱ 走向/° 倾角/° 滑动角/° 走向/° 倾角/° 滑动角/° 1 1990-04-02 13:56:37.9 33.04 72.63 5.6 6 36 106 167 56 79 2 1990-04-21 18:54:56.5 37.28 73.79 5.8 352 17 80 183 73 93 3 1990-04-22 20:25:27.7 38.07 73.60 5.6 347 16 81 177 74 93 4 1990-08-02 05:24:14.1 32.14 72.20 6.0 2 27 95 177 63 87 5 1990-10-11 04:25:28.7 34.17 72.07 5.4 329 11 58 182 81 96 6 1991-08-18 21:52:13.9 31.95 71.90 5.2 312 18 37 186 79 105 7 1992-04-10 09:33:12.2 33.68 71.70 5.1 248 57 −172 154 83 −33 8 1992-05-03 03:40:42.9 32.36 71.66 5.5 275 4 23 162 88 94 9 1992-05-18 03:02:26.5 33.61 72.03 6.1 19 8 120 169 83 86 10 1992-05-22 01:20:43.3 33.84 72.42 5.5 0 21 92 178 69 89 11 1992-11-04 21:32:41.1 31.98 72.21 6.0 0 28 93 177 62 89 12 1992-11-28 03:13:38.0 31.59 72.08 6.4 51 52 −177 319 87 −38 13 1993-01-01 09:56:34.0 31.93 71.66 5.3 356 19 92 174 71 89 14 1993-03-17 04:35:58.3 38.67 75.37 5.6 224 30 −37 348 72 −115 15 1993-07-16 21:21:35.2 33.32 72.56 5.6 7 18 111 164 73 83 16 1993-12-04 23:16:59.4 33.57 72.22 5.6 35 16 140 163 80 77 17 1994-04-16 09:55:26.3 32.23 71.84 5.6 10 26 108 171 65 81 18 1994-06-16 00:47:27.1 32.99 71.96 5.1 10 22 112 166 70 81 19 1994-09-12 06:30:01.0 31.26 72.13 5.9 306 21 51 167 74 103 20 1994-09-14 05:02:18.1 31.23 72.09 5.4 26 32 131 160 66 68 21 1994-09-17 12:22:20.5 32.48 72.01 5.7 11 26 83 199 64 93 22 1994-09-22 14:24:38.4 32.07 71.90 5.4 61 36 21 314 78 124 23 1994-10-11 01:37:25.1 32.22 71.91 5.7 284 33 37 162 71 118 24 1995-03-23 09:18:25.1 36.33 72.81 5.5 21 6 120 170 85 87 25 1995-04-28 02:04:24.4 32.06 71.99 5.1 126 42 61 342 54 114 26 1995-06-02 19:07:24.8 31.72 71.64 5.5 166 14 −73 328 76 −94 27 1995-07-01 09:14:56.1 34.14 72.84 5.2 7 24 108 168 67 82 28 1995-09-17 07:25:33.8 35.61 74.47 5.6 184 42 −124 46 56 −63 29 1995-10-01 12:50:18.7 31.33 71.76 5.4 180 18 −74 344 73 −95 30 1995-10-03 16:08:20.4 30.86 72.65 5.7 9 41 104 171 51 79 31 1995-11-21 18:17:09.2 33.33 72.30 5.7 355 20 84 181 71 92 32 1996-02-22 13:40:57.5 33.53 72.00 5.9 93 40 49 321 61 119 33 1996-09-09 00:20:45.2 32.06 71.94 5.9 334 40 55 196 58 116 34 1997-06-09 14:45:29.6 32.08 71.83 5.1 266 39 −9 3 85 −129 35 1997-07-29 00:31:21.4 30.87 72.96 5.2 340 46 65 194 49 114 36 1998-01-12 10:14:15.8 31.25 71.87 6.6 355 27 91 174 63 90 37 1998-06-06 12:16:22.2 36.56 73.20 5.2 341 12 65 186 79 95 38 1998-07-29 07:14:28.6 32.30 71.67 6.4 181 40 116 329 55 70 39 1998-10-10 04:12:10.6 33.87 72.48 5.6 352 26 87 175 64 91 40 1999-04-30 19:28:50.3 31.90 72.27 5.5 355 29 81 185 61 95 41 1999-09-29 18:01:34.2 30.94 72.60 5.7 352 31 87 175 59 92 42 1999-11-03 13:59:23.0 37.70 73.93 5.3 28 7 132 166 85 85 43 1999-11-03 15:19:22.3 37.70 73.64 5.2 96 55 179 187 89 35 44 1999-11-20 21:52:53.1 30.79 72.66 5.2 11 40 106 171 52 77 45 2000-03-26 03:32:41.8 32.50 72.16 5.2 330 30 55 189 66 108 46 2001-01-07 10:18:28.3 33.52 72.33 5.9 353 23 85 178 67 92 47 2001-03-15 13:02:44.7 32.61 72.04 5.9 144 38 59 2 58 112 48 2001-04-09 09:01:05.4 32.88 73.23 6.6 219 44 −86 33 46 −94 49 2001-07-24 17:42:45.3 33.22 72.17 5.2 334 40 87 158 50 93 50 2001-11-03 01:43:27.5 36.19 72.02 5.1 274 33 25 163 77 120 51 2002-05-24 00:23:20.5 32.17 71.52 5.5 9 40 107 167 52 76 52 2002-06-18 13:56:30.7 31.04 71.63 6.4 353 29 96 166 61 87 53 2002-06-23 11:10:44.7 31.49 71.54 5.2 334 42 −113 184 52 −71 54 2003-02-28 01:40:25.3 35.41 73.56 5.3 26 18 115 180 74 82 55 2003-04-14 14:42:34.7 35.38 72.90 5.2 18 44 158 124 75 48 56 2003-06-02 02:52:15.0 33.08 72.40 5.5 9 25 92 187 65 89 57 2003-06-19 23:05:02.0 30.89 72.14 5.6 2 26 98 173 64 86 58 2004-01-19 05:47:29.2 31.85 72.07 5.3 358 25 95 172 65 88 59 2004-05-03 04:36:54.9 37.95 73.75 6.6 0 16 118 151 76 82 60 2004-06-15 11:16:32.7 38.96 73.62 5.9 172 52 150 281 67 42 61 2004-09-07 10:57:44.0 34.10 72.49 5.2 10 16 105 174 74 86 62 2004-09-07 12:33:59.6 34.14 72.52 5.7 6 10 102 174 80 88 63 2004-09-08 08:16:07.1 34.13 72.40 5.1 359 23 98 170 67 86 64 2004-09-10 10:44:16.3 38.06 73.24 5.2 30 48 62 248 49 118 65 2004-09-27 22:58:29.4 32.72 72.02 5.5 17 21 109 177 70 83 66 2005-03-01 07:24:09.4 31.59 72.10 5.4 354 25 103 159 66 84 67 2005-03-13 20:39:03.0 32.72 72.02 5.2 9 24 103 175 66 84 68 2005-03-29 16:38:25.0 33.76 72.38 5.3 6 17 100 175 73 87 69 2005-04-13 09:25:27.5 33.27 73.24 5.4 21 38 −89 200 52 −91 70 2005-12-14 10:52:09.1 31.22 72.05 5.3 266 24 −18 12 83 −113 71 2005-12-26 00:56:13.7 39.01 73.74 5.1 4 32 89 185 58 91 72 2006-01-05 22:51:18.0 36.43 73.52 5.2 19 16 104 184 74 86 73 2006-02-10 17:51:59.1 32.57 71.84 5.2 11 32 97 183 59 86 74 2006-04-15 14:42:12.5 31.18 72.33 5.2 1 22 93 179 68 89 75 2006-05-18 18:26:23.4 32.34 72.14 5.0 11 24 109 170 68 82 76 2006-05-21 05:11:40.5 37.41 74.14 5.2 27 17 120 176 76 82 77 2006-07-19 22:11:30.6 32.63 72.24 5.0 336 25 74 174 66 98 78 2006-10-12 18:06:04.2 31.48 72.03 6.4 3 26 96 176 65 87 79 2006-10-13 16:12:58.8 31.55 72.02 5.3 360 26 95 174 64 88 80 2007-03-29 14:40:47.9 31.63 72.16 5.6 12 19 91 191 71 90 81 2007-03-29 17:09:10.2 31.59 72.06 5.6 29 22 112 185 69 81 82 2007-03-29 17:46:27.2 31.69 72.12 5.3 336 15 59 188 78 98 83 2007-03-29 18:32:02.6 31.72 72.23 5.0 347 31 85 172 59 93 84 2007-04-22 06:05:28.4 31.59 72.34 5.1 348 28 61 201 66 105 85 2007-06-21 09:54:59.1 31.79 71.42 5.1 359 32 94 174 58 88 86 2007-06-28 19:25:22.5 32.08 71.63 5.6 198 15 −73 0 75 −95 87 2007-08-08 14:14:23.4 32.66 71.92 5.3 335 17 78 167 74 93 88 2007-10-20 19:56:22.0 36.50 73.51 5.2 13 23 104 177 67 84 89 2007-12-15 18:22:32.1 32.81 72.02 5.9 359 21 89 179 69 90 90 2007-12-20 03:07:00.9 32.85 72.01 5.5 351 12 80 181 78 92 91 2008-11-23 21:19:44.3 36.38 73.36 5.3 11 22 111 169 69 82 92 2008-12-18 21:19:33.6 32.63 72.13 6.1 360 19 94 175 71 89 93 2008-12-18 21:50:34.0 32.62 72.11 5.9 350 18 83 177 72 92 94 2008-12-19 07:30:11.8 32.66 72.24 5.4 359 20 90 179 70 90 95 2008-12-19 09:36:08.8 32.56 72.10 5.7 2 19 100 172 72 87 96 2008-12-19 13:57:36.4 32.68 71.97 5.2 11 19 118 162 74 81 97 2008-12-19 16:48:53.6 32.60 72.25 5.2 351 23 82 180 67 93 98 2009-09-25 15:47:27.8 32.26 71.90 5.1 277 58 15 180 78 147 99 2009-10-28 06:20:03.5 32.84 72.05 5.0 164 43 86 349 47 94 100 2009-12-29 11:47:36.8 36.78 73.39 5.1 1 21 95 175 69 88 -
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